Posté le Jeudi 9 octobre 2008 par lagrette
PRINCETON, NJ — While 6% of voters say they are less likely to vote for Barack Obama because of his race, 9% say they are more likely to vote for him, making the impact of his race a neutral to slightly positive factor when all voters’ self-reported attitudes are taken into account.
At the same time, 6% of voters say John McCain’s race will make them less likely to vote for him, with 7% saying it makes them more likely to vote for him, leading to the same basic conclusion: McCain’s race, like Obama’s, is on balance neither a plus nor a minus.
These conclusions are based on eight dimensions potentially affecting the vote for both candidates. The dimensions were included in Gallup’s Oct. 3-5 poll, and analyzed overall by Gallup’s Jeff Jones.
One of the dimensions tested for each candidate was « his race. » More specifically, as was true for each of the other seven dimensions, respondents were asked to indicate whether each candidate’s race made them more likely, or less likely, to vote for him for president. The data are presented in the charts here.
Eighty-five percent of voters say Obama’s race makes no difference, and 87% say McCain’s race makes no difference. This makes race the single dimension out of the eight tested that is the least likely to have an impact on the vote.
As noted above, the self-reported impact of race for both Obama and McCain is mixed, with about as many respondents saying race will make them more likely to vote for each candidate as say race will make them less likely to vote for each.
The potential impact of Obama’s race on the election has been the more scrutinized this year. These data, taken at face value, show that if anything, his race could be a net plus, in the sense that it makes slightly more voters want to vote for him than not want to vote for him.
There is, as expected, a difference by the race of the respondent in answers to this question.
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Une réponse à “Question de race ? pas vraiment, selon Gallup”
9 oct 08 à 11:29
« his race could be a net plus, in the sense that it makes slightly more voters want to vote for him than not want to vote for him » …
La preuve justement que c’est bien une question de race comme l’avait bien repéré, il y a 7 mois et pour son mahleur, Geraldine Ferraro
« Si Obama était blanc, il ne serait pas dans cette position. Et s’il était une femme, il ne serait pas dans cette position. Il a beaucoup de chance d’être ce qu’il est. »
Sans compter qu’il est bien connu que, sur certains sujets sensibles (eg. le vote FN en France) , les électeurs ont souvent tendance à dire ce qu’attend le sondeur …:
