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Posté le Vendredi 29 août 2008 par lagrette
L’analyse de VDH sur le choix de Palin
A Maverick Choice [Victor Davis Hanson]
The wisdom or error in selecting Palin will be determined later, when the public gets to know her, hears her speak and debate, and the mad-dog, in-the-tank press goes after every detail in her bio. She will have a very thin margin of error as far as gaffes go, in as much as the Quayle syndrome will be quickly invoked at the slightest slip.
But in political terms today, right now, one can appreciate the political brilliance of her appointment, which — given Obama’s doctrinaire liberal laundry-list speech — turns the attention to the McCain camp and will hinder the Democratic convention bounce.
1. The pick appeals to the Hillary independent voter and forces Obama to go easy, since he doesn’t want both a primary and general election in which liberal women thought he and his MSNBC media henchmen took the sexist, mean-spirited low road. Given McCain’s 72 years, women will realize that the role and future of this VP is no token appointment.
2. Conservatives and the base will be OK with both her positions and her life narrative; no defections as threatened with a Lieberman pick.
3.On energy, she will either blunt McCain’s unreasonable opposition to ANWR, or, in fact — as an Alaskan pro-driller — give him the opening necessary to « evolve » on the issue into a support for drilling there.
4. In a Zen way it raises the inexperience issue, inviting Obama to critique a fresh VP as « inexperienced » and thereby automatically turn the same scrutiny to his as-thin-or-even-thinner resume for the more important job.
5. McCain can keep running those Biden-attacking-Obama ads, with little worry that he would get the same back had he nominated a primary rival with a Biden-like campaign trail.
6. One governor, even with brief executive experience, still contrasts with three Senate legislators in the race.
7. Obama’s « change » mantra and sermons on Washington insiders are suddenly null and void due to both VP picks: McCain went for an outsider, Obama went for the classical Uber-insider.
8. As any one who has met her can attest, Palin has a charismatic presence and winning personality that could help whittle away at Obamania.
9. Much of the arsenal of the left-twing critique of the last eight hate-Bush years is starting to evaporate. Both McCain and Palin have or will have sons in Iraq; both are not easily identified as hard-core insensitive Republicans; McCain’s eroding maverick status is rejuvenated with this running-mate pick.
10. Let us hope that energy now becomes the key issue. Given Obama’s sorta sorta not references to gas, nuclear, and coal — and not much about drilling, McCain-Palin can really hit hard on natural gas, oil, nuclear, and coal as the perfect U.S.-dominated, at-home transition to alternative fuels that save the treasury and our national security — all much more appealing than Obama’s quixotic windmill and solar-panel melodramas.
For today, the timing and choice were inspired; now we await how Gov. Palin fares when the « new, » « transcendent » — and vicious — leftwing political attacks come.
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3 réponses à “A Maverick Choice”
29 août 08 à 22:34
Elle va bien
29 août 08 à 20:44
Ben oui, et je m’en occupe ! 
Il n’est d’ailleurs pas revenu notre critique …
VDH, encore :
Hope and Change—for McCain [Victor Davis Hanson]
The brilliant timing of the post-Obama speech/kick off Labor Day weekend in the appointment of the anti-pork, middle-America charismatic Palin (who is talking today of the Obama speech?)—and the way in which it cuts against 6-7 of Obama’s hope and change talking points—are inspired. Her family is from central casting—husband, a man of action, snow-mobile champ, hunter, union member, oil slope worker, part Native-American; son off to Iraq; her own blue-collar back-ground. Metrosexual they are not! In the last 30 days the McCain campaign couldn’t have been better managed. Going for the Rich Warren interview was smart. And while Obama wowed Europe with lofty utopian tropes, McCain’s celebrity off-the-wall spots, lightly mocking him as the Messiah, while roundly criticized by the left, suddenly resonated and even took the old fox into the laptops of the You-tube generation. He played well off the serial Obama gaffes like the tire-pressure sermon, while solidifying the base on abortion, drilling, and now his VP pick. He looks the relaxed candidate with the magnanimous reference to Obama’s nomination in contrast to the herky-jerky ankle-biting from the Obama handlers over the Palin appointment. Now the pairing of the septuagenarian warhorse, alongside the youthful mom of five from Alaska contrasts well with two doom and gloom, DC natty liberal senators. The 72-year old McCain is still running behind the Messiah, and who knows whether the sudden 3.3 GDP good news on the economy, the stability in Iraq, and cooling off of gas price spikes will hold or play a role. But given the Democratic dynamics this year, the overt bias of the media, and the rock-star quality of Obama, being this close as September nears is a tribute to McCain’s toughness and the savvy of his staff. I still think that Obama was the only serious Democratic candidate that could have lost in a year like this, and McCain the only Republican that could have won it. We’ll see. After the Victory Column, and a Greek temple, what can one expect from Obama during the Republican convention–Mt. Rushmore?
29 août 08 à 13:24
Lagrette, c’est quoi ce fourbi? Je croyais qu’on était supposés mal suivre la campagne…
